I like Boyle, but I do wish that he'd find a slightly better way of blending his thoughts, which are interesting enough on their own, with the jokes which, while funny, do tend to feel slightly shoehorned into the rest of the piece. It's like he has a pile of one-liners, plonks them down on paper and then knocks out a sentence or two to get from one to the other.
A good but not great night for Sanders, a decent win for Cruz, and rumblings that the wheels may finally be coming off Trump's campaign (which at this point would lead to a contested convention).
A contested Republican convention would be a treat. I didn't think it was a realistic possibility at the start of this. A big enough event in the days of newsprint and nightly news bulletins, but doing it now with 24 hour cable news and social media will be insane.
Tl;dr, Sanders isn't out yet, but needs wins and votes, Clinton's 2.5M ahead in the popular vote and projections are suggesting that Trump won't get enough votes to take the nomination outright before the convention, although it's clearly not impossible for him to do so.
The vote thing is misleading, because caucuses. How many votes did either get in Iowa for example. No one can tell you.
Also, I really wish people would forget about superdelegates for now, especially since that is the official line of the DNC. They are irrelevant until the convention.
They are, because every single one of them could switch sides, multiple times between now and the convention. They shouldn't be listed in the totals. Neither Clinton nor Sanders have any of those delegates.
You think it's a lock that if Sanders were to get ahead in pledged delegates that the superdelgates would definitely stick with Clinton, especially with what's going on with the Republicans and their potential contested convention? I don't at all.
No, I don't, but it's certainly a lock for anyone who crosses the two thousand and whatever mark with a combination of pledged supers and wins, which makes the super delegates relevant with the caveat that they can change their minds.
Unpledged delegates is definitely a more helpful name. It's interesting that they're such a big deal for the Democrats in a year where the Republican machine appears to have lost control of the process.
I didn't expect Sanders to win but hoped that he'd put up enough of a fight to make Clinton swing a bit to the left, enough to bind her more to socialist policies in office. She's been pretty consistent though so neoliberal business as usual for America for the next 8 years.
Good news. I'm wary of the momentum narrative that keeps on getting trotted out, but without knowing much detail, it seemed like Trump could have actually been getting close to the number of delegates he needs to win at the first round.
Looks like he can keep campaigning and have some sway on Clinton in return for his endorsement. I think he'd have struggled in the general when the media really turned on him and even if he won against whatever loon the Republicans put up, he'd find it difficult to actually do anything with a hostile Congress.
Gradually pushing the Democrats to the left could be a great achievement.