Brexit: Boris' Big Belgian Bangers
  • Yep. Absolutely.

    The whole reason for Corbyn’s popularity was that he appeared to ignore the culture of political appeasement and actually stand for what he believed in.

    The problem now is that one of the things he staunchly believes in is that joining the EU in the first place was a bad idea.

    Oops!
  • If you at it through his lens then it makes more sense to leave, even better if he can negotiate the deal.

    The EU is obviously better than the Tories but in Corbyn's mind it is still a barrier to his vision. The EU is much more centralist than himself.
    He is rolling the dice by moving out of the EU when not in power but there won't be another chance down the road.

    Personally I think it is too much of a gamble and we should remain and reform from inside but I don't see why people struggle to see why Corbyn wants out.
  • But he did vote to remain.  If he truely was a conviction politician, he'd stick by his guns and campaign for a second referendum.  I do appreciate why he's somewhat anti-EU due to his preference to align us more to the socialist Latin American states (that are left) than to a liberal EU bloc, but his belief that there is no way back since Article 50 has been triggered is majorly puzzling, due to this fact:  Swathes of young people voted for Labour at the last election.  The majority of 18-25 year olds want to remain. Why is Corbyn not tapping into that support to ensure future electoral success?  It's baffling.
    It wasn't until I hit my thirties that I realised you could unlock rewards by exploring the map
  • He doesn't feel particularly strongly about the EU. It's only a conviction if you have strong beliefs.

    The reason they aren't tapping into that support by wrapping themselves in an EU flag is because they have a ton of Leave constituencies, and the Lib Dems tried that and got fuck all for it.
  • Yossarian
    Show networks
    Xbox
    Yossarian Drew
    Steam
    Yossarian_Drew

    Send message
    They also have an overwhelming majority of members and voters in favour of remain who they’re disillusioning daily.
  • Yossarian
    Show networks
    Xbox
    Yossarian Drew
    Steam
    Yossarian_Drew

    Send message
    And the above holds true for Labour/leave constituencies by all accounts.
  • Labour isn't winning power without a substantial amount of Leavers voting for them so I can see why they're in a mess. But going along with various lies and myths about the EU isn't doing anyone any favours. If he inherits this mess, he would be trapped in the same double-think that the Tories have been. 

    Really, there's a missed opportunity here. His position should be something along the lines of "The Tories have been blaming their own failures on the EU for years. We can sort out immigration, housing, schools, jobs and regional investment within the EU, we just need a UK government that is, for once, willing to address these issues." Put actual clear daylight between them. It might just be a question of timing and he'll start with this stuff once Brexit collapses, he just doesn't want to be the one seen as killing it. 

    But this post is typical wishful thinking and "why doesn't Corbyn have the courage of my convictions?" stuff. He often can't make decent arguments for the stuff he does care about, so there's no chance with this.
  • Yossarian
    Show networks
    Xbox
    Yossarian Drew
    Steam
    Yossarian_Drew

    Send message
    Labour also isn’t winning power without its fervently remain army of volunteers.
  • Who are they voting for instead?
  • Yossarian
    Show networks
    Xbox
    Yossarian Drew
    Steam
    Yossarian_Drew

    Send message
    It’s not about where their votes are going, it’s about whether they can be arsed to knock on doors and try to convince people to back Labour and turn out the vote on Election Day.
  • They went out last time when he'd committed Labour to leaving the single market and ending freedom of movement.
  • I take the point though. That group is also important. Hence the fudge.
  • Yossarian
    Show networks
    Xbox
    Yossarian Drew
    Steam
    Yossarian_Drew

    Send message
    He was fudging hard at that point. He still is now, TBF, but the fudging is becoming less sustainable as the deadline approaches.
  • I know what I'm about to say isnt smart politics (hell, it probably isn't smart anyway) but I feel like Labour has an obligation to oppose Brexit. Yes, I take @JMW 's correct information that Leave/Remain is not split along Labour/Conservative lines.

    But there are two facts that make a second referendum (or arguing for one) necessary.

    First, is the demonstrably wrong voting system of first past the post. It should not exist and is the mechanism by which any government gets into power. This is the precursor which enabled the Cameron government to be in a position to set the refendum up (a >50% parliamentary majority with 37% of the non-compulsory vote? GTFO if anyone thinks that is representative).

    Secondly, the Brexit vote was won by a simple majority in a non-compulsory vote, with 72% turnout. Essentially, a leave vote was determined by 38% or thereabouts of the electorate.

    So far, nothing constituting an argument, just a statement of events.

    The point at which it becomes necessary for Labour to oppose Brexit is threefold
    1. Brexit will harm the country (financially, socially, strategically) and indeed it already has.
    2. Voters were misled by fraudulent campaigns from UKIP, Farage, Russia, Johnson, Murdoch.
    3. The Remain voters, comprising 36% of the electorate, and the non-voting block of 28% of the electorate are not being represented.

    Point 3 is the main thrust of my argument. If the Tories will not (demonstrated) back down from Brexit, and can not (likely) secure a beneficial agreement, then it is contingent for the Opposition party(s) to argue on behalf of the non-franchised voters who make up the majority of the electorate, regardless of which county they are located in.

    This is precisely the time to act in defiance of focus group politics. There are two consequences of this, however.

    a) The Labour party captures a GE majority on the remain and/or 2nd vote platform and is able to offer a second referendum.
    b) The Labour vote collapses as pro-Brexit Labour voters desert the party.

    In case a), the country avoids disaster. In case b), the Labour vote collapses, the Brexit negotiations ruin the country for a generation and in which case the Labour party can at least say it tried in the face of the Tories who were headed for disaster anyway.

    The alternative, i.e the status quo where Labour cowardly supports Brexit, renders the party functionally pointless anyway and it may as well fuck off if it no longer serves the interests of the common person. The centre-Right/pro-Brexit Labourites can feel comfy as they short the economy into oblivion.
    "Sometimes it's better to light a flamethrower than curse the darkness." ― Terry Pratchett
  • There’s another fallacy at the heart of Tory policy on the whole thing. May’s infamous “Brexit means Brexit” was bollocks – what her actions reveal is that to her, and by extension to Tory policy, Brexit means ending free movement. That’s all. Ending free movement is the one line she’s sticking to, and conceding everything else to get it.

    Truth is, ending free movement is not set in stone and never has been. It’s just one possible interpretation of what ‘leave the EU’ means.
  • Yossarian
    Show networks
    Xbox
    Yossarian Drew
    Steam
    Yossarian_Drew

    Send message
    Well, the vaguest outline of one at least.
  • What the fuck is Corbzy doing atm? This mfer didn't even read the deal document properly or at least get briefed properly about it, and I still don't understand what his problem with Europe is as a socialist compared to what the political machinations for brexit are about. 

    Listen fam, you can be a member of BBK or wotevs but like eventually I'm gonna go off you if you don't start offering up that sweet, sweet socialist alternative policy that isn't trash garbo poorly thought out pap that we're waiting for.
    "Let me tell you, when yung Rouj had his Senna and Mansell Scalextric, Frank was the goddamn Professor X of F1."
  • I think Corbyn is anti-EU because of reservations Benn had back in the 70’s. Or something.

    I think he feels the EU would block any of the full bore socialist policies any genuinely left wing government would wish to introduce and getting out would be of equal benefit for him (or a left wing successor) in enacting suitably ‘extreme’ left-wing polices, as it could/would/will be for the Brexiteer Tories and the capitalist class in enacting an even more pitiless brand of human rights free turbo-capitalism.

    Rightly or wrongly. (I don’t really know enough about EU regulations to say, or have time enough to investigate).
  • Yossarian
    Show networks
    Xbox
    Yossarian Drew
    Steam
    Yossarian_Drew

    Send message
    It’s all true. It’s why we don’t have any left-wing, Scandinavian-style social democracies anywhere in Europe.
  • poprock wrote:
    There’s another fallacy at the heart of Tory policy on the whole thing. May’s infamous “Brexit means Brexit” was bollocks – what her actions reveal is that to her, and by extension to Tory policy, Brexit means ending free movement. That’s all. Ending free movement is the one line she’s sticking to, and conceding everything else to get it. Truth is, ending free movement is not set in stone and never has been. It’s just one possible interpretation of what ‘leave the EU’ means.
    Legally, we can stay in the EU under freedom of movement and deport anyone who comes in and doesn't get a job after three months. We've never done that because it costs a lot, it's not going to work that well and Cameron was only ever interested in putting some racist window dressing on the status quo. But, imo, if someone came along and said Remain but we'll actually start enforcing the length of time people are staying here, that would be the end of Brexit.

    The public doesn't give a fuck about trade deals.
  • monkey wrote:
    But, imo, if someone came along and said Remain but we'll actually start enforcing the length of time people are staying here, that would be the end of Brexit.

    Na, people don't know or care about that. To satisfy the anti immigration cretins it has to be no foreigners allowed.
  • I think Monkey’s right. Spin that message effectively and you could win a popular vote with a landslide.

    Immigrants not in full-time employment after 90 days have their status revoked and are eligible for deportation. You could appease a lot of racists people afraid of losing their jobs with that.
  • He doesn't want one.

    Sorry "all options are on the table".

  • I think he feels the EU would block any of the full bore socialist policies any genuinely left wing government would wish to introduce and getting out would be of equal benefit for him (or a left wing successor) in enacting suitably ‘extreme’ left-wing polices, as it could/would/will be for the Brexiteer Tories and the capitalist class in enacting an even more pitiless brand of human rights free turbo-capitalism.

    He feels like a fucking idiot then. Literally nothing about isolating yourself from an international project tallies with legit socialist enterprise. There is no sensible argument from the left to endorse Brexit. Only think I can think of as a spur is some kind of domestic industrial protectionism but that wouldn't be very sensible.
  • Like, if his vision is so wholly parochial, he's not my kind of lefty and I start to picture what else he might fuck up in office for lack of imagination and reading.
  • I do think the chulink in his armour is being blinkered.

    *chulink stays because I am apprecitor of fine onomatopoeia
  • He feels like a fucking idiot then. Literally nothing about isolating yourself from an international project tallies with legit socialist enterprise. There is no sensible argument from the left to endorse Brexit. Only think I can think of as a spur is some kind of domestic industrial protectionism but that wouldn't be very sensible.

    Thing is, the opposite wing of his party are fucking dreadful. Force Corbyn out and you probably get one of those fuckers back in (or at least risk the possibility). Until the last cells of the Blairite disease have been killed off within Labour it's too great a risk that they somehow slime their way back in charge.

    I dunno, I just feel whatever happens we're fucked, without a worldwide acceptance that this system isn't working, and is completely unsustainable (in that we're destroying the planet) it's all just tinkering around the edges. Saying 'yeah, well we're less fucked in the EU' isn't a particularly inspiring message. I can see why some care, but personally - meh.

    I don't even know what Corbyn's vision is, but the mere fact he entertains some kind of vision beyond the desperately limited (and demonstrably failed) ideas of the unimaginative, spin/PR obsessed 'moderates' is a plus. If the future is Chuka or someone similar, what's the fucking point?
  • They are, but I'm not going to vote for him either if he can't articulate himself well on this massive point of contention. It entirely undermines any other apparently progressive ambition claimed, it's not a sideshow.

Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. If you want to get involved, click one of these buttons!