Brexit: Boris' Big Belgian Bangers
  • That Canada deal. Must have been awful.
  • acemuzzy
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    WorKid wrote:
    What the fuck?

    Just ignore him. He's in one of his moods.
  • It must have been bad though and I'm not without sypathy.
  • WorKid wrote:
    I'm a remoaner okay.

    But...

    Let's take the EU Canada deal. What a fucking shambles that was. (Wallonia??)
    The EU tariffs are a mess, the CAP is a horrific compromise.

    Maybe we can be bold. Maybe the UK will say fuck it guys, we declare unilateral tariff-free access to the UK. No need to bother with tedious free-trade agreements.

    Imagine that. All global producers competing on equal terms - our choice goes up and prices come down.

    Out of the EU we could open ourselves up to be the centre of the whole world. Will we... Probably not. But we could.
    This is madness. We'd still be exporting with tariffs and any domestic industry could be undercut by foreign competition at anytime from any place.
  • Yossarian
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    WorKid wrote:
    ll global producers competing on equal terms - our choice goes up and prices come down.
    Our farmers and what manufacturing we have left being undercut and put out of business, our financial sector up and leaving, unemployment shooting up causing a huge fall in the taxes available to government to provide public services.

    Woo.
  • I never said anything about Cameron's policies or history, just a comment on ability during a poll.

    Try not to be so reactionary, leave that to the Daily Mail comments section.

    What a load of cobblers.

    Quote me then.
  • Yeah maybe (monkey). Brexit just gives you options though. From allowing tariff-free coffee imports to full unilateral free trade.

    That why I say there's the isolationist / protectionist outcome, or the super-liberal outcome like unilateral free trade.

    Personally I'd go UFT given the choices although I'm no economist. I'd like cheaper coffee though.
  • Yossarian
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    Unilateral free trade could work at the point that living standards have fallen so far that our labour costs can compete with somewhere like China, until that point, it will only cause mass unemployment. Cheap coffee's no good if nobody has enough money to buy it.
  • WorKid wrote:
    Yeah maybe (monkey). Brexit just gives you options though. From allowing tariff-free coffee imports to full unilateral free trade.

    That why I say there's the isolationist / protectionist outcome, or the super-liberal outcome like unilateral free trade.

    Personally I'd go UFT given the choices although I'm no economist. I'd like cheaper coffee though.
    The timescales make any of this talk a nonsense. The UK can't negotiate or begin negotiations while it's an EU member. Then we aren't anymore and can start the years and years of grind towards replicating our current arrangements, all while we are on newly arranged, inferior trading terms with our main partners. You'll get years of more expensive coffee and then possibly no benefit.

    I doubt we'll come out of the customs union anyway. Definitely not in 2 years. We aren't anywhere near being ready.
  • (@yoss)
    It's a sector by sector thing though isn't it? I mean I haven't checked but let's say the EU tariff on (non-EU) cars is 10% and it's 5% on coffee and 30% on cheese (cos you know, France). UFT would maybe hurt Nissan a bit, Cathedral City a lot and erm yeah I don't think we grow much coffee do we.
  • Yossarian
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    It won't hurt things that we don't produce, but it will hurt everything we do produce.
  • This is part of the point though Monkey. It takes 5 minutes to declare UFT. It takes decades to negotiate individual FTAs with country after country.
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    There's likely majority support within the UK for reform, but has anyone ever tried for any concessions? What's our history there?

    I don't believe in the EU as some insidious cabal for globalised evil, but it does resemble the wiring of an old mainframe. To us outsiders, at least.
  • WorKid wrote:
    Yeah maybe (monkey). Brexit just gives you options though. From allowing tariff-free coffee imports to full unilateral free trade. That why I say there's the isolationist / protectionist outcome, or the super-liberal outcome like unilateral free trade. Personally I'd go UFT given the choices although I'm no economist. I'd like cheaper coffee though.

    It's not about any of this. What world do we want to live in? International or isolationist? Of course Brexit is going to fuck our economy but I personally couldn't give a flying fuck about that. Hopefully this will be a lesson in cooperation, at our expense. Without going on too much about the planet it seems if humans are going to make a go of it then the EU seems vital.
  • Yossarian wrote:
    It won't hurt things that we don't produce, but it will hurt everything we do produce.

    Then post-Brexit you could go the other way, and protect the fuck out of our lovely UK cheese manufacturers with 300% tariffs on stinky foreign cheese.
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    At which point every other country in the world will stick a 300% tariff on our cheeses.
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    And they may not stop at cheeses, why not stick a 500% tariff on all of our exports? I doubt that there are many countries in the world that are that dependent on anything we produce.
  • Gazelle I'm with you on that 100%. Brexit makes me sad and angry all at the same time. More about the (ill-informed) reasons people had for voting for it (Bananas/NHS/Muslims).

    But we're here now and we could choose to be even better than the EU were, even more inclusive and liberal, open ourselves up to the world and say to everyone we will do business with you, we will exchange ideas with you, we will welcome you to our country if you can contribute.

    Yes I'm being optimistic but I feel it's the best way right now. I'm sick of feeling sick about it all.

    Plus it was sunny and I've had a couple of pints.
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    Imagine all those poor kids in the future having to learn about the great cheese war between Britain and France.

    Their teacher won't know how it started, of course.
  • WorKid wrote:
    This is part of the point though Monkey. It takes 5 minutes to declare UFT. It takes decades to negotiate individual FTAs with country after country.
    National industries would be swamped with new entrants, our exports would all be under WTO rules, which any country can choose to kick up a stink about e.g. Argentina wants to sell us cheaper lamb, decides to play silly buggers at the WTO about Welsh lamb exports. That's one industry gone immediately. Even if Argentina didn't mess around, our lamb isn't getting exported tariff-free anywhere.
    So that industry is gone or diminshed. You've got cheaper lamb but now your taxes have gone up to cover the unemployment in Wales.

    I suppose if you eat enough cheap, Argentinian lamb the amount you save may cover the increased taxes.

  • WorKid wrote:
    Gazelle I'm with you on that 100%. Brexit makes me sad and angry all at the same time. More about the (ill-informed) reasons people had for voting for it (Bananas/NHS/Muslims).

    But we're here now and we could choose to be even better than the EU were, even more inclusive and liberal, open ourselves up to the world and say to everyone we will do business with you, we will exchange ideas with you, we will welcome you to our country if you can contribute.

    Yes I'm being optimistic but I feel it's the best way right now. I'm sick of feeling sick about it all.

    Plus it was sunny and I've had a couple of pints.
    It's a nice idea but no one has any feasible plan for achieving it.
  • WorKid wrote:
    Gazelle I'm with you on that 100%. Brexit makes me sad and angry all at the same time. More about the (ill-informed) reasons people had for voting for it (Bananas/NHS/Muslims). But we're here now and we could choose to be even better than the EU were, even more inclusive and liberal, open ourselves up to the world and say to everyone we will do business with you, we will exchange ideas with you, we will welcome you to our country if you can contribute. Yes I'm being optimistic but I feel it's the best way right now. I'm sick of feeling sick about it all. Plus it was sunny and I've had a couple of pints.

    Well we like exporting arms, so I guess that'll flourish.
  • *shakes hands with everyone
    "Night you lot"
    *waves
    *gets a kebab
    *goes home
  • *agrees Brexit is the worst thing to happen to European relations since the second World War
  • I mean, pinning our brexit success hopes on unilateral free trade seems to me like deciding to scrap trident on the hope of unilateral nuclear disarmament suddenly happening. As in, gee, that'd be nice, I guess, but it's never going to happen.

    IMHO as soon as anyone has any kind of import/export tax, or any kind of government subsidy anywhere, or any kind of "too big to fail" bailout, "free trade" becomes not free.
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    Yossarian wrote:
    Unilateral free trade could work at the point that living standards have fallen so far that our labour costs can compete with somewhere like China, until that point, it will only cause mass unemployment. Cheap coffee's no good if nobody has enough money to buy it.

    Yeah... This.

    If you just say 'come here, it's fray', all the local companies won't be able to compete, and wages will lower, as the international behemoths become the only viable sources of employment.

    Maybe. Well... Most likely.

    I suppose the next question will be what kind of protectionist laws does the UK currently have in place to support national business? Because importing from the EU must already squeeze out plenty of domestic business. Like agriculture, for a start.
    "I didn't get it. BUUUUUUUUUUUT, you fucking do your thing." - Roujin
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  • Yossarian
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    Agriculture gets huge subsidies from the EU.
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    Affect onm agriculture, when I google map dorset I see many many farmers "growing" electricity from solar cells rather than actual farming, the times they are a changing
    "I spent years thinking Yorke was legit Downs-ish disabled and could only achieve lucidity through song" - Mr B
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    "I didn't get it. BUUUUUUUUUUUT, you fucking do your thing." - Roujin
    Ninty Code: SW-7904-0771-0996
  • Dont forget the human element, as EU citizens (which you still are guys...) you have the right to Live, work, travel, Study & love in 28 countries.

    Those people can also come to your country and start friendships and relationships with you.

    Most of my friends and lovers are from the EU, my life would be a lot poorer without them.
    I'd guess that's true for some of you too.
    Wind Waker is a bad game

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